Ipswich Town F.C.vs
Oxford United F.C.Ipswich Town F.C. 2-1 Oxford United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipThu, 01 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Ipswich Town F.C.64%
- Ipswich Town F.C. 64%
- Draw 21%
- Oxford United F.C. 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Ipswich Town F.C., rating it at 64.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Ipswich Town F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Ipswich Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Oxford United F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Ipswich Town F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Ipswich Town F.C.: LWWWW
Oxford United F.C.: LWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Oxford United F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Ipswich Town F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Oxford United F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Ipswich Town F.C. vs Oxford United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Ipswich Town F.C. (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Ipswich Town F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. kick off?
- Thu, 01 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Ipswich Town F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.