Oxford United F.C. crestOxford United F.C.vsWrexham A.F.C. crestWrexham A.F.C.

Oxford United F.C. 0-1 Wrexham A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipTue, 21 Apr 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Wrexham A.F.C.40%

  • Oxford United F.C. 35%
  • Draw 24%
  • Wrexham A.F.C. 40%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Wrexham A.F.C., rating it at 40.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Oxford United F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Oxford United F.C.: WDLWW

Wrexham A.F.C.: LDDLL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-21Oxford United F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C.0–1
2025-10-22Wrexham A.F.C. vs Oxford United F.C.1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Oxford United F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Wrexham A.F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Oxford United F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C. kick off?
Tue, 21 Apr 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Oxford United F.C. vs Wrexham A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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