Sheffield Wednesday F.C. crestSheffield Wednesday F.C.vsSouthampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.

Sheffield Wednesday F.C. 1-3 Southampton F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 28 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Southampton F.C.72%

  • Sheffield Wednesday F.C. 11%
  • Draw 18%
  • Southampton F.C. 72%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

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Analysis

Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 71.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Sheffield Wednesday F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 71.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 17.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Sheffield Wednesday F.C.: WLLWW

Southampton F.C.: WLWLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-28Sheffield Wednesday F.C. vs Southampton F.C.1–3
2025-11-08Southampton F.C. vs Sheffield Wednesday F.C.3–1

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FAQ

Who will win Sheffield Wednesday F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sheffield Wednesday F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
Sat, 28 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Sheffield Wednesday F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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