Accrington Stanley F.C.vs
Crawley Town F.C.Accrington Stanley F.C. 3-2 Crawley Town F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Accrington Stanley F.C.48%
- Accrington Stanley F.C. 48%
- Draw 26%
- Crawley Town F.C. 26%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Accrington Stanley F.C., rating it at 48.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Accrington Stanley F.C. won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Accrington Stanley F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Accrington Stanley F.C.: WDLLD
Crawley Town F.C.: LDLWL
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Crawley Town F.C. vs Accrington Stanley F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Accrington Stanley F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.