Accrington Stanley F.C.vs
Notts County F.C.Accrington Stanley F.C. 0-4 Notts County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Notts County F.C.46%
- Accrington Stanley F.C. 29%
- Draw 25%
- Notts County F.C. 46%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Notts County F.C., rating it at 45.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Accrington Stanley F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Accrington Stanley F.C.: LLDLD
Notts County F.C.: WDDDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Notts County F.C. | 0–4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Notts County F.C. vs Accrington Stanley F.C. | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Notts County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Notts County F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Notts County F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Notts County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.