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Barrow A.F.C. crestBarrow A.F.C.vsOldham Athletic A.F.C. crestOldham Athletic A.F.C.

Barrow A.F.C. vs Oldham Athletic A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League Two 2025-2026Tue, 14 Apr 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Barrow A.F.C. 32 Oldham Athletic A.F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Oldham Athletic A.F.C.51%

Barrow A.F.C. 24%
Draw 25%
Oldham Athletic A.F.C. 51%
  • Barrow A.F.C. 24%
  • Draw 25%
  • Oldham Athletic A.F.C. 51%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Oldham Athletic A.F.C., rating it at 50.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Barrow A.F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Barrow A.F.C.: WWDWW

Oldham Athletic A.F.C.: WLLLW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-14Barrow A.F.C. vs Oldham Athletic A.F.C.3–2
2025-10-11Oldham Athletic A.F.C. vs Barrow A.F.C.0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Barrow A.F.C. vs Oldham Athletic A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Oldham Athletic A.F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Barrow A.F.C. vs Oldham Athletic A.F.C. kick off?
Tue, 14 Apr 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
What is the Barrow A.F.C. vs Oldham Athletic A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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