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Bristol Rovers F.C. crestBristol Rovers F.C.vsNewport County A.F.C. crestNewport County A.F.C.

Bristol Rovers F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League TwoSat, 22 Aug 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bristol Rovers F.C.57%

Bristol Rovers F.C. 57%
Draw 24%
Newport County A.F.C. 18%
  • Bristol Rovers F.C. 57%
  • Draw 24%
  • Newport County A.F.C. 18%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bristol Rovers F.C., rating it at 57.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Bristol Rovers F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Bristol Rovers F.C.: DDLWW

Newport County A.F.C.: LWLDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-31Bristol Rovers F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C.3–0
2025-09-06Newport County A.F.C. vs Bristol Rovers F.C.2–3

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FAQ

Who will win Bristol Rovers F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bristol Rovers F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bristol Rovers F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 11:30 GMT — EFL League Two.
What is the Bristol Rovers F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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