Cheltenham Town F.C.vs
Chesterfield F.C.Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoSat, 26 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chesterfield F.C.56%
- Cheltenham Town F.C. 20%
- Draw 24%
- Chesterfield F.C. 56%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chesterfield F.C., rating it at 56.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Cheltenham Town F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Cheltenham Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Chesterfield F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Cheltenham Town F.C.: LWLLL
Chesterfield F.C.: DLDDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Chesterfield F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chesterfield F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.