Accrington Stanley F.C.vs
GillinghamAccrington Stanley F.C. vs Gillingham Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Accrington Stanley F.C.44%
- Accrington Stanley F.C.
- Draw
- Gillingham
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Accrington Stanley F.C. or draw69%
- Draw or Gillingham56%
- Accrington Stanley F.C. or Gillingham75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- Accrington Stanley F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Gillingham, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Accrington Stanley F.C., rating it at 44.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Accrington Stanley F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Gillingham's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Accrington Stanley F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Gillingham's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Accrington Stanley F.C.: DDWDD
Gillingham: WWDLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Gillingham | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Gillingham?
- Tofiko's model favours Accrington Stanley F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Gillingham kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Gillingham head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.