Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoSat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Crewe Alexandra F.C.48%
- Cheltenham Town F.C. 27%
- Draw 25%
- Crewe Alexandra F.C. 48%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Crewe Alexandra F.C., rating it at 47.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Cheltenham Town F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Cheltenham Town F.C.: LWLLL
Crewe Alexandra F.C.: DLWDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Crewe Alexandra F.C. (48% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.