Cheltenham Town F.C.vs
Grimsby Town F.C.Cheltenham Town F.C. 2-2 Grimsby Town F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Grimsby Town F.C.50%
- Cheltenham Town F.C. 28%
- Draw 22%
- Grimsby Town F.C. 50%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Grimsby Town F.C., rating it at 50.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Cheltenham Town F.C. won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Cheltenham Town F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
Cheltenham Town F.C.: WDWDL
Grimsby Town F.C.: WDDDD
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Grimsby Town F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Grimsby Town F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Grimsby Town F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. | 7–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Grimsby Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Grimsby Town F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Grimsby Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Grimsby Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.