Cheltenham Town F.C.vs
Milton Keynes DonsCheltenham Town F.C. 2-3 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 07 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Milton Keynes Dons54%
- Cheltenham Town F.C. 25%
- Draw 20%
- Milton Keynes Dons 54%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Milton Keynes Dons, rating it at 54.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Cheltenham Town F.C. won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Cheltenham Town F.C.: WDLWL
Milton Keynes Dons: DDDLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons | 0–2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons | 2–3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Milton Keynes Dons vs Cheltenham Town F.C. | 5–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons?
- Tofiko's model favours Milton Keynes Dons (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons kick off?
- Sat, 07 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.