Chesterfield F.C.vs
GillinghamChesterfield F.C. vs Gillingham Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoTue, 01 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chesterfield F.C.64%
- Chesterfield F.C. 64%
- Draw 21%
- Gillingham 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chesterfield F.C., rating it at 64.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Chesterfield F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chesterfield F.C.: DLDDL
Gillingham: WWLWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Chesterfield F.C. vs Gillingham | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Gillingham vs Chesterfield F.C. | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chesterfield F.C. vs Gillingham?
- Tofiko's model favours Chesterfield F.C. (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chesterfield F.C. vs Gillingham kick off?
- Tue, 01 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Chesterfield F.C. vs Gillingham head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.