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Chesterfield F.C. crestChesterfield F.C.vsHarrogate Town A.F.C. crestHarrogate Town A.F.C.

Chesterfield F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 14 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Chesterfield F.C. 11 Harrogate Town A.F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chesterfield F.C.67%

Chesterfield F.C. 67%
Draw 20%
Harrogate Town A.F.C. 13%
  • Chesterfield F.C. 67%
  • Draw 20%
  • Harrogate Town A.F.C. 13%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Chesterfield F.C., rating it at 67.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Chesterfield F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 67.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Chesterfield F.C.: DLDDL

Harrogate Town A.F.C.: WDWWW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-14Chesterfield F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C.1–1
2025-08-23Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C.1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Chesterfield F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Chesterfield F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chesterfield F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 14 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
What is the Chesterfield F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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