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Colchester United F.C. crestColchester United F.C.vsCrawley Town F.C. crestCrawley Town F.C.

Colchester United F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League TwoTue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Colchester United F.C.61%

Colchester United F.C. 61%
Draw 24%
Crawley Town F.C. 15%
  • Colchester United F.C. 61%
  • Draw 24%
  • Crawley Town F.C. 15%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Colchester United F.C., rating it at 61.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Colchester United F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Colchester United F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Crawley Town F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Colchester United F.C.: LLDLW

Crawley Town F.C.: WLLWD

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-13Colchester United F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C.0–0
2025-12-26Crawley Town F.C. vs Colchester United F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Colchester United F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Colchester United F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Colchester United F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. kick off?
Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League Two.
What is the Colchester United F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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