Colchester United F.C.vs
Crewe Alexandra F.C.Colchester United F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Colchester United F.C.45%
- Colchester United F.C. 45%
- Draw 25%
- Crewe Alexandra F.C. 30%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Colchester United F.C., rating it at 45.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Colchester United F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Colchester United F.C.: LLWWD
Crewe Alexandra F.C.: DDDLW
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Colchester United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Colchester United F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Colchester United F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Colchester United F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Colchester United F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Colchester United F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.