Colchester United F.C. 0-1 Notts County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Colchester United F.C.41%
- Colchester United F.C. 41%
- Draw 24%
- Notts County F.C. 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Colchester United F.C., rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Colchester United F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Colchester United F.C.: WWDLL
Notts County F.C.: WDDDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Colchester United F.C. vs Notts County F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Notts County F.C. vs Colchester United F.C. | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Colchester United F.C. vs Notts County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Colchester United F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Colchester United F.C. vs Notts County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Colchester United F.C. vs Notts County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.