Colchester United F.C. crestColchester United F.C.vsNotts County F.C. crestNotts County F.C.

Colchester United F.C. 0-1 Notts County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Colchester United F.C.41%

  • Colchester United F.C. 41%
  • Draw 24%
  • Notts County F.C. 35%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Colchester United F.C., rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Colchester United F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Colchester United F.C.: WWDLL

Notts County F.C.: WDDDD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25Colchester United F.C. vs Notts County F.C.0–1
2025-11-22Notts County F.C. vs Colchester United F.C.1–3

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FAQ

Who will win Colchester United F.C. vs Notts County F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Colchester United F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Colchester United F.C. vs Notts County F.C. kick off?
Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
What is the Colchester United F.C. vs Notts County F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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