Crawley Town F.C. crestCrawley Town F.C.vsHarrogate Town A.F.C. crestHarrogate Town A.F.C.

Crawley Town F.C. 2-0 Harrogate Town A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 31 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Crawley Town F.C.49%

  • Crawley Town F.C. 49%
  • Draw 26%
  • Harrogate Town A.F.C. 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

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Analysis

Both model families pick Crawley Town F.C., rating it at 48.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Crawley Town F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Harrogate Town A.F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Crawley Town F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Harrogate Town A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Crawley Town F.C.: DLWLL

Harrogate Town A.F.C.: WLDWW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-31Crawley Town F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C.2–0
2025-09-06Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C.0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Crawley Town F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Crawley Town F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Crawley Town F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 31 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
What is the Crawley Town F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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