Crawley Town F.C. crestCrawley Town F.C.vsMilton Keynes Dons crestMilton Keynes Dons

Crawley Town F.C. 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League Two 2025-2026Tue, 19 Aug 2025 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Milton Keynes Dons59%

Tofiko20% / 21% / 59%
Market26% / 27% / 48%
  • Crawley Town F.C.
  • Draw
  • Milton Keynes Dons

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Milton Keynes Dons, rating it at 59.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Crawley Town F.C. won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Milton Keynes Dons's last 3 produced 19 goals — 6.3 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 3. Crawley Town F.C.'s 4 produced 15, at 3.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
  • Milton Keynes Dons's games are very high-scoring at 6.3 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026.

Crawley Town F.C.: DWLL

Milton Keynes Dons: LWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-22Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town F.C.4–1
2026-02-17Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town F.C.0–0
2025-08-19Crawley Town F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Crawley Town F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Tofiko's model favours Milton Keynes Dons (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Crawley Town F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons kick off?
Tue, 19 Aug 2025 18:45 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
What is the Crawley Town F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legMilton Keynes Dons 0-0 Crawley Town17 Feb 2026 →