Crewe Alexandra F.C.vs
Northampton Town F.C.Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoSat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Crewe Alexandra F.C.66%
- Crewe Alexandra F.C. 66%
- Draw 22%
- Northampton Town F.C. 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Crewe Alexandra F.C., rating it at 66.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Crewe Alexandra F.C.: DLWDW
Northampton Town F.C.: WDWDL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Crewe Alexandra F.C. (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.