Crewe Alexandra F.C.vs
Shrewsbury Town F.C.Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Shrewsbury Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoSat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Crewe Alexandra F.C.61%
- Crewe Alexandra F.C. 61%
- Draw 23%
- Shrewsbury Town F.C. 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Crewe Alexandra F.C., rating it at 60.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Crewe Alexandra F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Crewe Alexandra F.C.: DLWDW
Shrewsbury Town F.C.: DLWDD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Shrewsbury Town F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C. | 0–4 |
| 2025-11-08 | Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Shrewsbury Town F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2021-08-31 | Shrewsbury Town vs Crewe Alexandra | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Shrewsbury Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Crewe Alexandra F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Shrewsbury Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Shrewsbury Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.