Crewe Alexandra F.C. crestCrewe Alexandra F.C.vsSwindon Town F.C. crestSwindon Town F.C.

Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL League TwoTue, 13 Apr 2027 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Crewe Alexandra F.C.41%

Tofiko41% / 26% / 32%
  • Crewe Alexandra F.C.
  • Draw
  • Swindon Town F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Crewe Alexandra F.C. or draw68%
  • Draw or Swindon Town F.C.59%
  • Crewe Alexandra F.C. or Swindon Town F.C.74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.555%
  • Under 2.545%

Both teams to score

  • Crewe Alexandra F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
  • Swindon Town F.C., last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Crewe Alexandra F.C., rating it at 41.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Crewe Alexandra F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Crewe Alexandra F.C.'s last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Swindon Town F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

Recent form

As of 16 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 180 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Crewe Alexandra F.C.: WDWDW

Swindon Town F.C.: LLDLL

Head-to-head

As of 16 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 180 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-10Swindon Town F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C.0–1
2026-02-21Swindon Town F.C. vs Crewe Alexandra F.C.1–2
2025-08-30Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C.0–3

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FAQ

Who will win Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Crewe Alexandra F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. kick off?
Tue, 13 Apr 2027 18:45 GMT — EFL League Two.
What is the Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSwindon Town 0-1 Crewe10 Oct 2026 →