Crewe Alexandra F.C. crestCrewe Alexandra F.C.vsYork City F.C. crestYork City F.C.

Crewe Alexandra F.C. 1-1 York City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League TwoSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Crewe Alexandra F.C.48%

  • Crewe Alexandra F.C. 48%
  • Draw 21%
  • York City F.C. 31%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Crewe Alexandra F.C., rating it at 48.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Crewe Alexandra F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

Crewe Alexandra F.C.: DDDLW

York City F.C.: DLWDW

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs York City F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs York City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Crewe Alexandra F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs York City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
What is the Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs York City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureYork vs Crewe13 Feb 2027 →