Gillinghamvs
Cheltenham Town F.C.Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoSat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Gillingham46%
- Gillingham 46%
- Draw 25%
- Cheltenham Town F.C. 29%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Gillingham, rating it at 45.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Gillingham won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Cheltenham Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Gillingham's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Gillingham: WWLWW
Cheltenham Town F.C.: LWLLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Gillingham | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Gillingham (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.