Gillinghamvs
Swindon Town F.C.Gillingham vs Swindon Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoTue, 01 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Swindon Town F.C.49%
- Gillingham 26%
- Draw 25%
- Swindon Town F.C. 49%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Swindon Town F.C., rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Gillingham won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Swindon Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Gillingham's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Gillingham: WWLWW
Swindon Town F.C.: WWLLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Gillingham vs Swindon Town F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2026-01-01 | Swindon Town F.C. vs Gillingham | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Gillingham vs Swindon Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Swindon Town F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Gillingham vs Swindon Town F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 01 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Gillingham vs Swindon Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.