Grimsby Town F.C.vs
Crawley Town F.C.Grimsby Town F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoSat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Grimsby Town F.C.68%
- Grimsby Town F.C. 68%
- Draw 20%
- Crawley Town F.C. 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Grimsby Town F.C., rating it at 68.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Grimsby Town F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 68.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Grimsby Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Crawley Town F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Grimsby Town F.C.: LWDWW
Crawley Town F.C.: WLLWD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Crawley Town F.C. vs Grimsby Town F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-02 | Grimsby Town F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Grimsby Town F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Grimsby Town F.C. (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Grimsby Town F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Grimsby Town F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.