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Harrogate Town A.F.C. crestHarrogate Town A.F.C.vsCheltenham Town F.C. crestCheltenham Town F.C.

Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League Two 2025-2026Fri, 27 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Harrogate Town A.F.C. 11 Cheltenham Town F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cheltenham Town F.C.42%

Harrogate Town A.F.C. 34%
Draw 25%
Cheltenham Town F.C. 42%
  • Harrogate Town A.F.C. 34%
  • Draw 25%
  • Cheltenham Town F.C. 42%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Cheltenham Town F.C., rating it at 41.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Harrogate Town A.F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Harrogate Town A.F.C.: WDWWW

Cheltenham Town F.C.: LWLLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-27Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C.1–1
2025-12-13Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C.1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Cheltenham Town F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. kick off?
Fri, 27 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
What is the Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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