Harrogate Town A.F.C.vs
Notts County F.C.Harrogate Town A.F.C. 0-2 Notts County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 28 Mar 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Notts County F.C.57%
- Harrogate Town A.F.C. 21%
- Draw 22%
- Notts County F.C. 57%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Notts County F.C., rating it at 57.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Harrogate Town A.F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Harrogate Town A.F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Notts County F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Harrogate Town A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Harrogate Town A.F.C.: WLDWW
Notts County F.C.: WDDDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Notts County F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Notts County F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C. | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Notts County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Notts County F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Notts County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Mar 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Notts County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.