Harrogate Town A.F.C.vs
Swindon Town F.C.Harrogate Town A.F.C. 0-1 Swindon Town F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Tue, 03 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Swindon Town F.C.54%
- Harrogate Town A.F.C. 23%
- Draw 23%
- Swindon Town F.C. 54%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Swindon Town F.C., rating it at 54.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Harrogate Town A.F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Harrogate Town A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Harrogate Town A.F.C.: WLDWW
Swindon Town F.C.: WLWDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Swindon Town F.C. vs Harrogate Town A.F.C. | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Swindon Town F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 03 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Harrogate Town A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.