Newport County A.F.C.vs
Cambridge United F.C.Newport County A.F.C. 0-2 Cambridge United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 21 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cambridge United F.C.60%
- Newport County A.F.C. 18%
- Draw 22%
- Cambridge United F.C. 60%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cambridge United F.C., rating it at 59.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Newport County A.F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Newport County A.F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Cambridge United F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Newport County A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Newport County A.F.C.: DLWDL
Cambridge United F.C.: LLDWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Newport County A.F.C. vs Cambridge United F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Cambridge United F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Newport County A.F.C. vs Cambridge United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Cambridge United F.C. (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newport County A.F.C. vs Cambridge United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Newport County A.F.C. vs Cambridge United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.