Northampton Town F.C. crestNorthampton Town F.C.vsGillingham crestGillingham

Northampton Town F.C. vs Gillingham Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL League TwoSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Gillingham45%

Tofiko26% / 29% / 45%
  • Northampton Town F.C.
  • Draw
  • Gillingham

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Northampton Town F.C. or draw55%
  • Draw or Gillingham74%
  • Northampton Town F.C. or Gillingham71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.543%
  • Under 2.557%

Both teams to score

  • Northampton Town F.C., last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Gillingham, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Gillingham, rating it at 44.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Northampton Town F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Gillingham's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Northampton Town F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Gillingham's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 115 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Northampton Town F.C.: DLLLW

Gillingham: WWDLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 115 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-29Gillingham vs Northampton Town F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Northampton Town F.C. vs Gillingham?
Tofiko's model favours Gillingham (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Northampton Town F.C. vs Gillingham kick off?
Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
What is the Northampton Town F.C. vs Gillingham head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legGillingham 1-1 Northampton29 Aug 2026 →