Oldham Athletic A.F.C. crestOldham Athletic A.F.C.vsChesterfield F.C. crestChesterfield F.C.

Oldham Athletic A.F.C. 1-2 Chesterfield F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League TwoSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Oldham Athletic A.F.C.45%

  • Oldham Athletic A.F.C. 45%
  • Draw 25%
  • Chesterfield F.C. 29%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Oldham Athletic A.F.C., rating it at 45.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Oldham Athletic A.F.C. won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

Oldham Athletic A.F.C.: LLDWL

Chesterfield F.C.: WDDLW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Oldham Athletic A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C.1–2
2026-03-17Chesterfield F.C. vs Oldham Athletic A.F.C.0–3
2026-01-01Oldham Athletic A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Oldham Athletic A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Oldham Athletic A.F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Oldham Athletic A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
What is the Oldham Athletic A.F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureChesterfield vs Oldham20 Feb 2027 →