Rochdale A.F.C.vs
GillinghamRochdale A.F.C. 1-4 Gillingham — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rochdale A.F.C.39%
- Rochdale A.F.C. 39%
- Draw 24%
- Gillingham 36%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rochdale A.F.C., rating it at 39.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Rochdale A.F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Rochdale A.F.C.: LWLLL
Gillingham: WDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 1Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Rochdale A.F.C. vs Gillingham | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rochdale A.F.C. vs Gillingham?
- Tofiko's model favours Rochdale A.F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rochdale A.F.C. vs Gillingham kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Rochdale A.F.C. vs Gillingham head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.