Shrewsbury Town F.C.vs
Notts County F.C.Shrewsbury Town F.C. 1-0 Notts County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Tue, 17 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Notts County F.C.52%
- Shrewsbury Town F.C. 26%
- Draw 22%
- Notts County F.C. 52%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Notts County F.C., rating it at 52.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Shrewsbury Town F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Shrewsbury Town F.C.: WLLLD
Notts County F.C.: WDDDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Shrewsbury Town F.C. vs Notts County F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Notts County F.C. vs Shrewsbury Town F.C. | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Shrewsbury Town F.C. vs Notts County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Notts County F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Shrewsbury Town F.C. vs Notts County F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 17 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Shrewsbury Town F.C. vs Notts County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.