Swindon Town F.C. crestSwindon Town F.C.vsPort Vale F.C. crestPort Vale F.C.

Swindon Town F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL League TwoTue, 01 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Swindon Town F.C.61%

  • Swindon Town F.C. 61%
  • Draw 24%
  • Port Vale F.C. 15%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Swindon Town F.C., rating it at 61.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

They arrive from very different football. Swindon Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Port Vale F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Swindon Town F.C.: LWDLW

Port Vale F.C.: DDLLW

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FAQ

Who will win Swindon Town F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Swindon Town F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Swindon Town F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. kick off?
Tue, 01 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL League Two.

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