York City F.C.vs
GillinghamYork City F.C. vs Gillingham Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoSat, 26 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs York City F.C.57%
- York City F.C. 57%
- Draw 24%
- Gillingham 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick York City F.C., rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. York City F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Gillingham's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- York City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
York City F.C.: LLDWL
Gillingham: WWLWW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win York City F.C. vs Gillingham?
- Tofiko's model favours York City F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does York City F.C. vs Gillingham kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.