York City F.C.vs
GillinghamYork City F.C. vs Gillingham Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 26 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs York City F.C.57%
- York City F.C. 57%
- Draw 24%
- Gillingham 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick York City F.C., rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
York City F.C.: WDWLL
Gillingham: DDLLW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win York City F.C. vs Gillingham?
- Tofiko's model favours York City F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does York City F.C. vs Gillingham kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.