York City F.C. crestYork City F.C.vsSwindon Town F.C. crestSwindon Town F.C.

York City F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL League TwoSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs York City F.C.47%

  • York City F.C. 47%
  • Draw 21%
  • Swindon Town F.C. 32%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick York City F.C., rating it at 47.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

York City F.C.: DLWDW

Swindon Town F.C.: WWLWD

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win York City F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours York City F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does York City F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.

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Reverse fixtureSwindon Town vs York20 Feb 2027 →