Olympique Lyonnais crestOlympique LyonnaisvsFC Lorient crestFC Lorient

Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Lorient Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 16 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Olympique Lyonnais65%

  • Olympique Lyonnais 65%
  • Draw 22%
  • FC Lorient 13%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Olympique Lyonnais, rating it at 64.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Olympique Lyonnais won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 137 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Olympique Lyonnais: DLWDW

FC Lorient: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 137 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Lorient2–0
2025-12-07FC Lorient vs Olympique Lyonnais1–0
2024-03-09FC Lorient vs Lyonnais0–2
2023-10-08Lyonnais vs FC Lorient3–3
2023-03-05Lyonnais vs FC Lorient0–0
2022-09-07FC Lorient vs Lyonnais3–1
2022-03-04FC Lorient vs Lyonnais1–4
2021-09-25Lyonnais vs FC Lorient1–1
2021-05-08Lyonnais vs FC Lorient4–1
2020-09-27FC Lorient vs Lyonnais1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Lorient?
Tofiko's model favours Olympique Lyonnais (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Lorient kick off?
Sat, 16 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Lorient head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

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