Olympique Lyonnaisvs
FC LorientOlympique Lyonnais vs FC Lorient Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 16 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Olympique Lyonnais65%
- Olympique Lyonnais 65%
- Draw 22%
- FC Lorient 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique Lyonnais, rating it at 64.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Olympique Lyonnais won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Olympique Lyonnais's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. FC Lorient's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Olympique Lyonnais's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Olympique Lyonnais: LWLWW
FC Lorient: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Lorient | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-07 | FC Lorient vs Olympique Lyonnais | 1–0 |
| 2024-03-09 | FC Lorient vs Lyonnais | 0–2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Lyonnais vs FC Lorient | 3–3 |
| 2023-03-05 | Lyonnais vs FC Lorient | 0–0 |
| 2022-09-07 | FC Lorient vs Lyonnais | 3–1 |
| 2022-03-04 | FC Lorient vs Lyonnais | 1–4 |
| 2021-09-25 | Lyonnais vs FC Lorient | 1–1 |
| 2021-05-08 | Lyonnais vs FC Lorient | 4–1 |
| 2020-09-27 | FC Lorient vs Lyonnais | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Lorient?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique Lyonnais (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Lorient kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique Lyonnais vs FC Lorient head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.