OGC Nicevs
ES Troyes ACOGC Nice vs ES Troyes AC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs OGC Nice64%
- OGC Nice 64%
- Draw 24%
- ES Troyes AC 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick OGC Nice, rating it at 63.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and OGC Nice won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
OGC Nice: LLWWW
ES Troyes AC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-30 | ESTAC Troyes vs OGC Nice | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-09 | OGC Nice vs ESTAC Troyes | 3–2 |
| 2022-04-24 | OGC Nice vs ESTAC Troyes | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-17 | ESTAC Troyes vs OGC Nice | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win OGC Nice vs ES Troyes AC?
- Tofiko's model favours OGC Nice (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does OGC Nice vs ES Troyes AC kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the OGC Nice vs ES Troyes AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.