Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
FC LorientParis Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 28 Nov 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win77%
1X2: model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC at 77%.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Draw
- FC Lorient
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Paris Saint-Germain FC or draw92%
- Draw or FC Lorient23%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC or FC Lorient85%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.573%
- Under 2.527%
Both teams to score
- Paris Saint-Germain FC, last 10 home games8 of 10
- FC Lorient, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 77.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 46 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWWL
FC Lorient: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 46 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-29 | FC Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-24 | FC Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–4 |
| 2023-08-12 | Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient | 0–0 |
| 2023-04-30 | Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient | 1–3 |
| 2022-11-06 | FC Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–2 |
| 2022-04-03 | Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient | 5–1 |
| 2021-12-22 | FC Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-31 | FC Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain | 3–2 |
| 2020-12-16 | Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.