Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
FC LorientParis Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC77%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 77%
- Draw 15%
- FC Lorient 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 77.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 15.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain FC: DLWWD
FC Lorient: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-29 | FC Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-24 | FC Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–4 |
| 2023-08-12 | Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient | 0–0 |
| 2023-04-30 | Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient | 1–3 |
| 2022-11-06 | FC Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–2 |
| 2022-04-03 | Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient | 5–1 |
| 2021-12-22 | FC Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-31 | FC Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain | 3–2 |
| 2020-12-16 | Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Lorient | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Lorient head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.