AJ Auxerrevs
Olympique de MarseilleAJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 29 Nov 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Olympique de Marseille or draw76%
1X2: model backs Olympique de Marseille at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- AJ Auxerre
- Draw
- Olympique de Marseille
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AJ Auxerre or draw53%
- Draw or Olympique de Marseille76%
- AJ Auxerre or Olympique de Marseille72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- AJ Auxerre, last 10 home games8 of 10
- Olympique de Marseille, last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 47.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AJ Auxerre won 2 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. AJ Auxerre's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Olympique de Marseille's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- AJ Auxerre's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 16 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 45 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AJ Auxerre: LWWWL
Olympique de Marseille: LWLLL
Head-to-head
As of 16 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 45 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Olympique de Marseille vs AJ Auxerre | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-22 | AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille | 3–0 |
| 2024-11-08 | Olympique de Marseille vs AJ Auxerre | 1–3 |
| 2023-04-30 | Marseille vs AJ Auxerre | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | AJ Auxerre vs Marseille | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.