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Chicago Fire crestChicago FirevsColumbus Crew crestColumbus Crew

Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chicago Fire52%

Chicago Fire 52%
Draw 21%
Columbus Crew 27%
  • Chicago Fire 52%
  • Draw 21%
  • Columbus Crew 27%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 52.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Chicago Fire won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Chicago Fire: LLWWW

Columbus Crew: WLDWW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-28Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew2–0
2025-02-23Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire4–2

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FAQ

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?
Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew kick off?
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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