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Chicago Fire crestChicago FirevsColumbus Crew crestColumbus Crew

Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chicago Fire52%

  • Chicago Fire 52%
  • Draw 21%
  • Columbus Crew 27%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 52.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Chicago Fire won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Chicago Fire: DWWWW

Columbus Crew: LLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-28Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew2–0
2025-02-23Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire4–2

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FAQ

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew?
Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew kick off?
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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