Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Austin FCSporting Kansas City vs Austin FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting Kansas City40%
- Sporting Kansas City 40%
- Draw 24%
- Austin FC 36%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting Kansas City, rating it at 40.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 63 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Sporting Kansas City: DLLLW
Austin FC: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 63 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-23 | Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting Kansas City (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.