Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Austin FCSporting Kansas City vs Austin FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting Kansas City40%
- Sporting Kansas City 40%
- Draw 24%
- Austin FC 36%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting Kansas City, rating it at 40.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW
Austin FC: LWLLL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-23 | Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting Kansas City (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.