Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas CityvsAustin FC crestAustin FC

Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sporting Kansas City40%

Tofiko40% / 24% / 36%
  • Sporting Kansas City
  • Draw
  • Austin FC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting Kansas City, rating it at 40.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Sporting Kansas City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Austin FC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL

Austin FC: DDWDD

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-17Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City1–2
2025-09-07Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC1–2
2025-02-23Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting Kansas City (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC kick off?
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAustin 1-0 Sporting Kansas City23 Feb 2025 →