FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas47%
- FC Dallas 47%
- Draw 21%
- San Jose Earthquakes 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 47.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Dallas won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Dallas: LDWWL
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas | 2–3 |
| 2025-07-17 | San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas | 2–2 |
| 2025-06-26 | FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.