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Nashville SC crestNashville SCvsSporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerThu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC73%

Nashville SC 73%
Draw 17%
Sporting Kansas City 11%
  • Nashville SC 73%
  • Draw 17%
  • Sporting Kansas City 11%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 72.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 16.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Nashville SC: LWWWW

Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.

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