Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC73%
- Nashville SC 73%
- Draw 17%
- Sporting Kansas City 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 72.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 16.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Nashville SC: LWWWW
Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.