D.C. Unitedvs
New York Red BullsD.C. United vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls43%
- D.C. United 33%
- Draw 24%
- New York Red Bulls 43%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York Red Bulls, rating it at 42.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
D.C. United: LLDDW
New York Red Bulls: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | New York Red Bulls vs D.C. United | 4–4 |
| 2025-05-24 | D.C. United vs New York Red Bulls | 0–2 |
| 2025-04-19 | New York Red Bulls vs D.C. United | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does D.C. United vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.