D.C. Unitedvs
New York Red BullsD.C. United vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerWed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls43%
- D.C. United 33%
- Draw 24%
- New York Red Bulls 43%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York Red Bulls, rating it at 42.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
D.C. United: WDDDL
New York Red Bulls: LLWDW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | New York Red Bulls vs D.C. United | 4–4 |
| 2025-05-24 | D.C. United vs New York Red Bulls | 0–2 |
| 2025-04-19 | New York Red Bulls vs D.C. United | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does D.C. United vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.