Chicago Firevs
Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire46%
- Chicago Fire
- Draw
- Philadelphia Union
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 45.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Chicago Fire won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Chicago Fire's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chicago Fire: WLLDD
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire | 4–0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.