FC Cincinnativs
New England RevolutionFC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerWed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati57%
- FC Cincinnati 57%
- Draw 23%
- New England Revolution 20%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 57.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Cincinnati won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. New England Revolution's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Cincinnati: LWWWD
New England Revolution: WDLWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-14 | New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution kick off?
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.