Arsenal F.C. 4-2 Leicester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sat, 28 Sep 2024 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.73%
Tofiko73% / 18% / 9%
Market85% / 10% / 5%
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Leicester City F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 73.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 2 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Leicester City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
Arsenal F.C.: LWWWW
Leicester City F.C.: WDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-15 | Leicester City F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-09-28 | Arsenal F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 4–2 |
| 2023-02-25 | Leicester City vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2022-08-13 | Arsenal vs Leicester City | 4–2 |
| 2022-03-13 | Arsenal vs Leicester City | 2–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Leicester City vs Arsenal | 0–2 |
| 2021-02-28 | Leicester City vs Arsenal | 1–3 |
| 2020-10-25 | Arsenal vs Leicester City | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Sep 2024 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.